Biden has three more keys to lock in as a Democratic presidential candidate to defeat Trump

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Journalist . . Anjing

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Starting in 2017, the Trump campaign and the Republican National Committee have raised $677 million for this year's campaign.

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Former Vice President Joe Biden has been the only Democratic presidential candidate since Bernie Sanders dropped out of the race in April.

On June 5, Biden won the delegate count needed to nominate a Democratic presidential candidate to formally lock in the presidential nomination.

Democratic National Representative ConventionIt will be held in August, at which the Democratic presidential and vice presidential candidates will be formally nominated. To be nominated, a presidential candidate must win 1991 party delegates. As of May 5, AP statistics show that Biden has won 1993 delegates.

On Friday night, Biden, 77, said he was "very happy" with the president's workMake a statementHe said he was "proud" that the Democratic Party had joined the election as a united party. He promised to try to win the votes of the American people "in order to win the battle of the American soul."

President Trump's response to the new crown epidemic, high unemployment and the race of Floyd's death provide a good opportunity for Biden to defeat Trump in November's election.

In recent weeks, several polls have shown Biden with more support than Trump.CNN NewsA poll released On May 5 showed Biden's approval rating rising 51 percent nationally, while Trump's dropped to 41 percent.

But the polls don't tell the question: In the 2016 election, Clinton's approval rating in national polls has been almost always higher than Trump's.

The deep pockets of the Trump campaign and the Republican Party, the Trump team's skillful use of information platforms such as social media, the increased polarization that has helped Mr. Trump further consolidate his iron powder, and Mr. Trump's advantage as the current president have made Mr. Biden's challenge difficult.

Too rich

In January, when Mr. Trump was caught up in a Democratic-sponsored impeachment case,The Trump campaignAnnounced campaign funds raised in the fourth quarter of 2019.

When Mr. Trump was mobbed by Democrats, his supporters contributed $46 million to him, more than any Democratic candidate had raised in the quarter. At the time, it was also the highest quarterly donation the Trump campaign had raised for re-election.

At the same time, the highest-raising Democratic candidate was Sanders. He raised $24.7 million in the fourth quarter, about half of Trump's.

And $46 million is just the money raised by the Trump team, not including the Republican National Committee. In the third quarter of 2019, the Trump team and the Republican National Committee raised $125 million;

The Trump campaign says it raised $143 million for the whole of 2019. But that's not the highest.

In April, as the U.S. became a hot spot for the new crown epidemic and began implementing home orders everywhere, the Trump campaign and the Republican National Committee announced that in the first quarter of this year,The two organizations raised money togethera staggering $212 million.

In March alone, the two organizations raised $63 million. The Trump campaign and the Republican National Committee say they have raised $677 million for this year's campaign since 2017. Of this amount, $255 million was in cash.

That's $270 million more than Obama's 2012 campaign raised over the same period.

Compared withBiden's campaign teamIt raised $46.7 million in March, the highest monthly amount raised since Biden ran. The Democratic National Committee also raised $32.5 million in March, more than half of which was left over from billionaire Bloomberg's campaign.

《New york times.Starting in April, Biden's team and the Democratic Party will be able to raise $1 million a day, and by November's election, they will barely be able to keep up with the money that the Trump team and the Republican Party have in their banks by April.

The deep-pocketed Trump teamhas been put in$10 million to run ads on television, the Internet and radio, specifically targeting Biden.

Play the media

Before dropping out of the race, Sanders was the most-publiced Democratic candidate. After the outbreak of the new crown,Sanders invitedRock veteran Neil Young recorded the campaign and broadcast it live on social media and video sites such as Facebook and Twitch.

And Biden didn't start his first real webcast until last month.Period signalIt was also interrupted for seven minutes.

Axios News NetworkA comparison of Biden's and Trump's media exposure and attention from March 15 to April 15 resulted in Trump winning at every turn.

In cable news exposure, Trump is three times as liked as Biden; seven times as liked, commented on, shared and other social media interactions; seven times as liked as Biden on Google Search; and 15 times more likely than Biden on social media fans.

In online news, Trump-related news reads 5.5 times as much as Biden-related news.

On the hands of the people, Biden's campaign isSince 2004, the smallest of the Democratic candidates. In the 2016 election, there were 750 members of Clinton's team who earned at least $1,000; as of March, there were only 375 similar staffers on Biden's team.

Biden's biggest scandal comes after former Senate aide Tara Reade accused him of sexually assaulting him in 1993.

Reid reported the incident to police in early April, and although Biden's team immediately clarified the denial, Biden himself did not respond publicly for the first time until early May. For more than a month, the scandal has fermented.

Swing states and the "silent majority"

Even after the new crown outbreak, soaring unemployment, Freud's death and the threat of a military crackdown,NPR/PBS NewsHourA poll released on May 5th showed Mr. Trump still at 41 percent support and 55 percent against.

Compared to the last oneRepublican President George W. BushAccording to the Gallup poll, Bush's approval rating rose to more than 90 percent after the September 11 attacks. After Hurricane Katrina in 2005, Bush's approval rating fell to 40%; Obama was then elected.

Mr. Trump's approval rating has remained between 40 and 44 percent since he became president. The latest 41 percent approval rate also means that voters' attitudes toward Mr. Trump remain deeply polarized, and that his iron powder has not wavered.

The vote in swing states is even more crucial in the absence of a crowd of Trump loyalists.

WeekChange ResearchPolls show Biden and Trump neck-and-neck in six swing states.

Mr. Trump beat Mr. Biden slightly in Arizona and Pennsylvania, with 45 percent and 50 percent support, respectively, and Mr. Biden at 44 percent and 46 percent, respectively.

In Florida, Michigan and North Carolina, Biden is slightly better than Trump; in Wisconsin, both have 45 percent support.General Election 2016All six states are in Trump's pocket.

In addition to the uncertainty in swing states, states have a large number of voters who are eligible to vote but have not yet registered.

Minnesota, where Freud lived only,The state's Democratic PartyAt least 250,000 white male voters with no college education are currently expected to be unregistered. These voters are likely to vote for Trump in the future.

Biden has less influence among african-American minority voters than Obama. Floyd's death, while fueling discontent among African-Americans, does not mean they will come out in support of Biden.

In the 2016 general election, Sanders was voted for in the Democratic primary12% of the electorateTrump, not Hillary Clinton, was chosen in the final vote.

In March this year,ABC News and The Washington PostPolls show that if Biden won the Democratic presidential nomination, 15 percent of Sanders supporters would turn to Trump.

But this week's Change Research poll still points to Biden's chances of uniting anti-Trump voters: 66 percent of voters who don't decide who to vote for or who support a third-party party now oppose Trump, and 48 percent strongly oppose it.

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